The role of the Zagros mountain range in the future scenarios of drying up of the Zayanderud River

Document Type : Original Article

Authors

1 Kharazmi UNIVERSITY

2 Kharazami university

3 political geography,, school of Geographical sciences

4 Kharazmi university

10.30740/cccd.2025.737310
Abstract
Rivers, as vital arteries of natural ecosystems, play a central role in maintaining environmental balance. Globally, river drying has become one of the most serious environmental challenges. Studies indicate that rivers located near mountainous areas are among the most vulnerable ecosystems due to their greater sensitivity to climate change. This applied research examines the factors affecting the drying up of the Zayanderud River, focusing on the Zagros mountain ecosystem. Data were collected through library and field methods, and the research problem was analyzed using a systems approach and futures studies tools. The findings show that precipitation systems, water extraction, Zagros topography, water allocation methods, and water resource management are the key factors influencing the river’s drying. Considering different possible states of these key variables, the future of the Zayanderud River appears critical. As this crisis goes beyond a local issue, it should be regarded as a warning of potential ecological collapse in the region, requiring effective cooperation among government, researchers, and society.

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