Statistical-Synoptic Analysis of Heavy Spring Rainfall in Kermanshah Province

Document Type : Original Article

Authors

1 University kharazmi tehran

2 Hydrology Department, Faculty of Geographical Sciences, Khwarazmi University, Tehran, Iran

3 Department of Natural Geography, Faculty of Geographical Sciences, Kharazmi University, Tehran, Iran

10.30740/cccd.2025.737309
Abstract
The aim of the current research is the statistical-synoptic analysis of heavy spring rains in Kermanshah province, in line with proper management to prevent the occurrence of financial damage and loss of life caused by storms and floods, and the optimal use and storage of this type of rain during times of water shortage and drought. To carry out this research, daily data on heavy spring rainfall from nine stations in Kermanshah province, for the period 1951–2013, were obtained from the country's organization. Then, using statistical methods including descriptive statistics (prevalence, percentage) and inferential statistics (clustering), and the synoptic method (circulation to environment), from the NCEP/NCAR website, Omega synoptic maps at levels from 200 to 1000 hPa and composite maps (sea level pressure with vorticity, specific humidity with wind flow at the 700 hPa level, and geopotential height with vorticity at the 500 hPa level) were obtained, and the studied maps were plotted in the GrADS software environment. After identifying and analyzing three patterns of heavy rain, the results of this research showed that due to the integration of the low-pressure systems of the Mediterranean Sea and the Red Sea on one hand and the suitable position of the ridge over Arabia and the Arabian Sea, the influence of the trough on the mentioned water sources, and also the formation of the negative omega core in the upper levels of the troposphere on the other hand, conditions have been created for proper advection and divergence of moisture from the desired water areas toward the study area.

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